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Owner59 -> RE: Obama wins BIG in SC (1/27/2008 8:37:36 AM)
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quote:
ORIGINAL: luckydog1
I have not seen an inevitability of a Dem president at any point in the past decade. Just because the Majority dislikes Bush, does not mean that a majority will vote for any paticular Dem candidate. The anti Bush front has been incredibly divided all along. It ranges from Neo Nazis to Stalinists, and. every point in between. There is no candidate that can unite them. I don't see any sort of Landslide for any side. Likely the next president will beat Clintons record as the lowest % of vote in history, regardless of Party. I doubt that will be good for the country.
Just because the Majority dislikes Bush, does not mean that a majority will vote for any paticular Dem candidate.
http://www.investors.com/editorial/IBDArticles.asp?artsec=5&issue=20080109
'Heavy Dem Turnout, Fundraising So Far Bad News For GOP'
With the dust settled in the first two major contests of the presidential primary, one thing is clear: The Democrats have the edge in voter enthusiasm.
By virtually every measure — voter turnout, grass-roots fundraising, polling data — the Democrats are showing the most energy and vigor. That bodes ill for the GOP in November.
http://www.desmoinesregister.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080102/NEWS/80102061
Iowa independents are expected to follow the lead set by their national peers in 2006. Nationwide, independents backed Democrats heavily in the watershed 2006 elections, in part out of a rejection of President Bush and a loud cry for change that has continued into the 2008 campaign, strategists in both parties agree.
http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/politics/2004106612_apcaucusturnout03.html
Iowa:
220,588 -Democrats(up from 124,000 in '04')
114,000 -Republicans
http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1707063,00.html
Voters are showing up at Democratic primaries and caucuses in record numbers, doubling, tripling or even quadrupling the turnout totals recorded in the last fully contested two-party election in 2000. Overall, Democrats have so far outnumbered Republicans at primary polling places by a rate of almost two to one.
So far three states have held primaries or caucuses that both parties actively contested, and in each, Democratic turnout is outrunning participation by Republicans:
--In Iowa, some 239,000 Democrats turned out at the caucuses, almost twice the all-time record. Republicans doubled their turnout in Iowa, as well, but still only reached 114,000.
--In New Hampshire, some 287,000 Democrats turned out to vote, up from 156,862 in 2000, while Republican turnout decreased slightly to 238,000.
And yesturday is looking just as good for dems,with a record turnout.
http://www.thestate.com/presidential-politics/story/297243.html
I don't see any sort of Landslide for any side. Likely the next president will beat Clintons record as the lowest % of vote in history, regardless of Party.
So much for luckydog-analysis.I think I see "wish for",more that "might be".
Super duper pooper scooper Tuesday,will probably show a huge independent shift towards the dems ,also.
I`m looking forward to it.
As an aside,I heard that either one can win the rest of the caucuses,and still not have enough votes to win the nomination,pre-convention.
It`s that close.
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