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RE: Palin to resign as governor - 7/9/2009 10:58:30 PM   
maidheather


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quote:

ORIGINAL: rulemylife

So my question is what is he defining as total debt versus public debt?



I'm going from memory here, because I'm too lazy to get a link, and I admit in advance that I could be wrong, but I think part of the total debt is "interagency debt", money government agencies owe each other (which would all cancel each other out in the big federal budget because they basically just owe different departments)

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RE: Palin to resign as governor - 7/10/2009 3:56:56 AM   
cadenas


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quote:

ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy
Give it time, my friend. You can't print money as fast as the presses will run unaccompanied by economic growth, without causing massive inflation.


I think you are overlooking three things.

1) If money really is being printed, it would be done by Bernanke, a Bush appointee and confirmed by a Republican Senate. The government cannot print money, only the Fed - which is independent from the government.

2) Both running the money press and the inflation has already happened - during the Bush administration, and to a lesser extent during the Clinton administration.

That last point is one most people overlook. But think about it. The technology bubble and, when that collapsed, the subsequent housing bubble were classic examples of a superinflation. We were lucky that it didn't extend much to other markets.

And money was printed the way the Fed always prints money: by making low-interest loans. In this case, these loans resurfaced as mortgages. The lack of standards and regulation aggravated the problem.

All this was aggravated by Bush's deficit spending. Deficit spending will boost the economy - that's why we need to do it right now. But when the economy is already running at peak capacity, as it was when Bush inherited it, a boost is the last thing you want - just as you wouldn't want to revv up an engine that is already running close to the red line.

3) What we are seeing today isn't "running the money press" but rather scrambling to cover for having run the money press continuously from 1995 to 2008. And we are seeing the unwinding of this superinflation of the late 1990s and early 2000s.



< Message edited by cadenas -- 7/10/2009 4:01:00 AM >

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RE: Palin to resign as governor - 7/10/2009 5:46:16 AM   
Cagey18


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quote:

ORIGINAL: LaTigresse

What was Bush's worst, 34%? Something like that.


22%, actually (several polls in early-late October last year) http://www.pollingreport.com/BushJob.htm


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RE: Palin to resign as governor - 7/10/2009 6:20:32 AM   
rulemylife


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And the saga continues.

The self-proclaimed redneck is now saying her resignation was all about money, which might make sense considering she mentioned in her resignation speech the legal fees she had incurred.

Of course, good 'ole Levi has his own book and movie deal in the works so that tends to strain his credibility somewhat.

It just doesn't get more entertaining than this, and stayed tuned folks, there are more episodes of the comic hilarity of the Palin family to come.


Levi Johnston talks about Palin's resignation

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RE: Palin to resign as governor - 7/10/2009 6:28:27 AM   
LaTigresse


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I am beginning to suspect that our old Palin-salivating friend Cory has been reincarnated as Wilbur.

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RE: Palin to resign as governor - 7/10/2009 6:52:46 AM   
slvemike4u


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LaTige,please be nice...its will be ur daddy.....not wilbur.
This isn't an episode of Mr Ed. you know....willlllburrr.

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RE: Palin to resign as governor - 7/10/2009 8:41:07 AM   
LaTigresse


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ME?? Be nice????

_____________________________

My twisted, self deprecating, sense of humour, finds alot to laugh about, in your lack of one!

Just because you are well educated, articulate, and can use big, fancy words, properly........does not mean you are right!

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RE: Palin to resign as governor - 7/10/2009 9:44:00 AM   
rulemylife


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Does sound the same, but the posts are sure a lot shorter.

Let's ask.

Willbeur, are you Cory in disguise?

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RE: Palin to resign as governor - 7/10/2009 11:07:12 AM   
slvemike4u


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yeah right Rule,the guy goes to the trouble of creating an alter-ego(with a real cool name too),and he's just going to tell you.......good luck with that.

_____________________________

If we want things to stay as they are,things will have to change...Tancredi from "the Leopard"

Forget Guns-----Ban the pools

Funny stuff....https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eNwFf991d-4


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RE: Palin to resign as governor - 7/10/2009 1:40:38 PM   
Lucylastic


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Well bugger, I thought it was CruelnUnusual reincarnated
ok who do I owe a beer too?


ok I just came across this....La Palins speech writer?
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/lee-stranahan/watch-interview-with-sara_b_229704.html
does this not explain a lot?????
SNORTS
Lucy



< Message edited by Lucylastic -- 7/10/2009 1:41:32 PM >


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RE: Palin to resign as governor - 7/10/2009 2:03:25 PM   
Crush


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Isn't it time to move this thread to Polls and Other Random Stupidity?

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RE: Palin to resign as governor - 7/10/2009 2:12:09 PM   
Loki45


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Crush

Isn't it time to move this thread to Polls and Other Random Stupidity?


I was thinking more along the lines of   


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RE: Palin to resign as governor - 7/10/2009 2:44:07 PM   
ThatDamnedPanda


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Lucylastic

Well bugger, I thought it was CruelnUnusual reincarnated.




Ooh - good call! I think you may be a lot closer to the mark. Corey had a lot of problems with his temper, but he was basically a really nice guy who meant well, and would always feel badly and make nice after he blew up. He wasn't All Nasty, All The Time. I don't think this guy is him.


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RE: Palin to resign as governor - 7/10/2009 3:08:36 PM   
LaTigresse


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good call

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Just because you are well educated, articulate, and can use big, fancy words, properly........does not mean you are right!

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RE: Palin to resign as governor - 7/10/2009 3:41:35 PM   
willbeurdaddy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: cadenas

quote:

ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy
Give it time, my friend. You can't print money as fast as the presses will run unaccompanied by economic growth, without causing massive inflation.


I think you are overlooking three things.

1) If money really is being printed, it would be done by Bernanke, a Bush appointee and confirmed by a Republican Senate. The government cannot print money, only the Fed - which is independent from the government. It is only semi-independent, the Fed ultimately reports to Congress. It doesnt matter ultimately, because money is "printed" based on spending/cash flow needs which are driven by Congress.

2) Both running the money press and the inflation has already happened - during the Bush administration, and to a lesser extent during the Clinton administration. absolutely. Now multiply that by the quadrupling of the deficit under Obama's proposals and watch the crispy bills fly.

And money was printed the way the Fed always prints money: by making low-interest loans. In this case, these loans resurfaced as mortgages. The lack of standards and regulation aggravated the problem. It was worse than "lack of standards and regulation". It was politically mandated lower lending standards that aggravated the problem, along with the repeal of Glass Steagall.

All this was aggravated by Bush's deficit spending. Deficit spending will boost the economy - that's why we need to do it right now. But when the economy is already running at peak capacity, as it was when Bush inherited it, a boost is the last thing you want - just as you wouldn't want to revv up an engine that is already running close to the red line.

3) What we are seeing today isn't "running the money press" but rather scrambling to cover for having run the money press continuously from 1995 to 2008. And we are seeing the unwinding of this superinflation of the late 1990s and early 2000s. If Obama's policies go through, you havent seen "superinflation" like you will. The evidence plain to be seen in the inflation and interest rates of the 1970s and could pale in comparison to the 2010s




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RE: Palin to resign as governor - 7/10/2009 6:27:38 PM   
tazzygirl


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Always good to put things into perspective.


quote:

Who owns the Federal Reserve?
The Federal Reserve System is not "owned" by anyone and is not a private, profit-making institution. Instead, it is an independent entity within the government, having both public purposes and private aspects.
As the nation's central bank, the Federal Reserve derives its authority from the U.S. Congress. It is considered an independent central bank because its decisions do not have to be ratified by the President or anyone else in the executive or legislative branch of government, it does not receive funding appropriated by Congress, and the terms of the members of the Board of Governors span multiple presidential and congressional terms. However, the Federal Reserve is subject to oversight by Congress, which periodically reviews its activities and can alter its responsibilities by statute. Also, the Federal Reserve must work within the framework of the overall objectives of economic and financial policy established by the government. Therefore, the Federal Reserve can be more accurately described as "independent within the government."

The twelve regional Federal Reserve Banks, which were established by Congress as the operating arms of the nation's central banking system, are organized much like private corporations--possibly leading to some confusion about "ownership." For example, the Reserve Banks issue shares of stock to member banks. However, owning Reserve Bank stock is quite different from owning stock in a private company. The Reserve Banks are not operated for profit, and ownership of a certain amount of stock is, by law, a condition of membership in the System. The stock may not be sold, traded, or pledged as security for a loan; dividends are, by law, 6 percent per year.



quote:

Why did Congress want the Federal Reserve to be relatively independent?
The intent of Congress in shaping the Federal Reserve Act was to keep politics out of monetary policy. The System is independent of other branches and agencies of government. It is self-financed and therefore is not subject to the congressional budgetary process.


quote:

Since the Federal Reserve has considerable discretion in carrying out its responsibilities, to whom is it accountable?
The Federal Reserve's ultimate accountability is to Congress, which at any time can amend the Federal Reserve Act. Legislation requires that the Fed report annually on its activities to the Speaker of the House of Representatives, and twice annually on its plans for monetary policy to the banking committees of Congress. Fed officials also testify before Congress when requested.

To ensure financial accountability, the financial statements of the Federal Reserve Banks and the Board of Governors are audited annually by an independent outside auditor. In addition, the Government Accountability Office, as well as the Board's Office of Inspector General, can audit Federal Reserve activities.


http://www.federalreserve.gov/generalinfo/faq/faqfrs.htm

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RE: Palin to resign as governor - 7/11/2009 12:27:13 AM   
cadenas


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quote:

ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy
quote:

ORIGINAL: cadenas

quote:

ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy
Give it time, my friend. You can't print money as fast as the presses will run unaccompanied by economic growth, without causing massive inflation.


I think you are overlooking three things.

1) If money really is being printed, it would be done by Bernanke, a Bush appointee and confirmed by a Republican Senate. The government cannot print money, only the Fed - which is independent from the government. It is only semi-independent, the Fed ultimately reports to Congress. It doesnt matter ultimately, because money is "printed" based on spending/cash flow needs which are driven by Congress.



The semi-independence is true. But, no, money is printed based on the monetary policy, which is government-independent (the currently-pending Fed Audit Bill that Ron Paul came up with, would actually change that). If money was created to meet the government's spending needs, that would be a very bad thing indeed. In fact, the independence of central banks to prevent exactly that was the major innovation introduced after the 1923 hyperinflation.

Specifically, the Fed sets a number of parameters (the discount rate is probably the best-known one. The reserve requirement and the open market policy are others). http://www.newyorkfed.org/education/fed/tools.html

You may be thinking of the "open market operations". But those don't DRIVE the monetary policy.

Or you may be thinking of the statement that the economy's (not the government's) cash-flow needs drive monetary policy. That of course is true, but means something very different (see the next point).


quote:

ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy
2) Both running the money press and the inflation has already happened - during the Bush administration, and to a lesser extent during the Clinton administration. absolutely. Now multiply that by the quadrupling of the deficit under Obama's proposals and watch the crispy bills fly.


I rather doubt that, but regardless: a deficit doesn't drive inflation. A monetary policy that makes more money available than the economy's cash-flow needs does.

I'd also challenge you to come up with an explanation for the "quadrupling". Even the most biased observers so far haven't predicted anything like that.

As a matter of fact, the deficit may well shrink as we wind down the huge spending on the Iraq folly and on the tax cuts for the wealthy that thankfully weren't made permanent.

quote:

ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy
And money was printed the way the Fed always prints money: by making low-interest loans. In this case, these loans resurfaced as mortgages. The lack of standards and regulation aggravated the problem. It was worse than "lack of standards and regulation". It was politically mandated lower lending standards that aggravated the problem, along with the repeal of Glass Steagall.


I agree.

quote:

ORIGINAL: willbeurdaddy
3) What we are seeing today isn't "running the money press" but rather scrambling to cover for having run the money press continuously from 1995 to 2008. And we are seeing the unwinding of this superinflation of the late 1990s and early 2000s. If Obama's policies go through, you havent seen "superinflation" like you will. The evidence plain to be seen in the inflation and interest rates of the 1970s and could pale in comparison to the 2010.


1970s wasn't a superinflation by any standard. And the inflation from the 1990s to 2008 or so already topped the 1970s. I mean, home price inflation has reached close to 100% annually at some point.

The main difference is that the recent inflation was mostly confined to two or so markets. What we may see is that the inflation may spread out to some extent, although quite frankly I doubt that.


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RE: Palin to resign as governor - 7/11/2009 1:09:10 AM   
BamaD


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First off I am amused by people who reffer to what we have had lately as "superinflation".  They clearly don't remember the last two Carter years when the inflation rate was in excess of 10 percent. And that doesn't compare to true superinflation like the Wermark (sp) Republics 100 percent per hour rate.  Also do describe the economy Bush inherited as running along just fine is a gross exageration.  He was instatntly hit with a recession as a result of the dot.com bubble bursting.  Those with short memories forget that on 9/10 he wasn't supposed to be concerned about anything but fixing the ressecion.  While this is not directly relevant to todays situation you should know what you are talking about.  

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RE: Palin to resign as governor - 7/11/2009 4:00:22 AM   
willbeurdaddy


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Sorry, but 90% of your post agrees with mine except wrt to nits. The other 10% (Deficits dont drive inflation) is misleading. Deficits don't drive inflation, expansion of the money supply subtantially faster than the economy grows does. That is an undeniable fact supported by every such event in history.

Now if you can find another way to finance a deficit other than expansion of the money supply, go for it.

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RE: Palin to resign as governor - 7/11/2009 4:01:43 AM   
willbeurdaddy


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quote:

ORIGINAL: BamaD

First off I am amused by people who reffer to what we have had lately as "superinflation".  They clearly don't remember the last two Carter years when the inflation rate was in excess of 10 percent. And that doesn't compare to true superinflation like the Wermark (sp) Republics 100 percent per hour rate.  Also do describe the economy Bush inherited as running along just fine is a gross exageration.  He was instatntly hit with a recession as a result of the dot.com bubble bursting.  Those with short memories forget that on 9/10 he wasn't supposed to be concerned about anything but fixing the ressecion.  While this is not directly relevant to todays situation you should know what you are talking about.  


short or selective memories that is. Im the context of the US though characterizing the Carter debacle is "superinflation" isnt unreasonable. Applying that to narrow sectors of the economy, is of course, semantics at best.

< Message edited by willbeurdaddy -- 7/11/2009 4:05:07 AM >

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