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RE: Mosul is liberated: IS routed - 7/10/2017 2:41:07 PM   
DesideriScuri


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quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle
Even as IS is routed on the battlefield, the Islamist ideology will live on, and we are likely to see an increase in guerilla tactics in Syria/Iraq and suicide attacks in Europe. How then can the vicious Islamist ideology be defeated? Are we doomed to live with IS's atrocities for the foreseeable future?
Your thoughts .....


    quote:

    Are we doomed to live with IS's atrocities for the foreseeable future?


Sadly, I think we are, because....
    quote:

    How then can the vicious Islamist ideology be defeated?


'Bombing them back to the stone age' won't do it. How many times have we (mainly the US) done that and it not worked? Chop off one head, and another or 3 emerge in its stead. To deal with the hate, we need to change people's hearts and minds. That takes quite a bit longer, initially. But, get 'er started and it will snowball until those who still hate are the outcast minority.


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Profile   Post #: 21
RE: Mosul is liberated: IS routed - 7/10/2017 7:43:28 PM   
Hillwilliam


Posts: 19394
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quote:

ORIGINAL: kdsub

quote:

ORIGINAL: Hillwilliam
What will we do?


There is nothing "WE" can do. We should have learned our lesson... It is a religion and people of hate... they hate each other but they hate us more. All we have ever done, for the sake of oil, is stir a hornets nest and directed their hate at us. They are on the whole a backward people fighting to hold on to a way of life that fits the 6th century better than today.

Now that we are mostly energy self sufficient we should get out of that hell whole and just let them butcher each other. If we must deal with them then deal according to our fair minded values and not who has the most oil resources.

To me we should also withdraw our support from Israel... Without our support they will be forced to negotiate in good faith for their survival. If they will not do that then let war determine the winner... the only way this will end is with a winner... which of course means they both lose.

Butch


Oh. WE will do something. I just guarandamntee it will be the WRONG fucking thing to do.

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RE: Mosul is liberated: IS routed - 7/10/2017 7:50:07 PM   
ThatDizzyChick


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FR
And how many innocent people died to achieve this glorious victory?

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Profile   Post #: 23
RE: Mosul is liberated: IS routed - 7/10/2017 8:46:36 PM   
BoscoX


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quote:

ORIGINAL: ThatDizzyChick

FR
And how many innocent people died to achieve this glorious victory?


What was the problem anyway

They were just jv, right

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RE: Mosul is liberated: IS routed - 7/11/2017 1:19:10 AM   
longwayhome


Posts: 1035
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

One look at a map will show you why we will all continue to keep Turkey as an ally.


This.

Far more important to have a democratic Turkey which respects human rights as the bulwark against Islamic extremism.

There's the rub though. Turkey's going all right wing and populist, which means worse international relations, problems with NATO, issues with internal minority rights and potential political corruption. All of which does not bode well.

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Profile   Post #: 25
RE: Mosul is liberated: IS routed - 7/11/2017 3:42:15 AM   
mnottertail


Posts: 60698
Joined: 11/3/2004
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quote:

ORIGINAL: BoscoX


quote:

ORIGINAL: ThatDizzyChick

FR
And how many innocent people died to achieve this glorious victory?


What was the problem anyway

They were just jv, right


Yes, it was Saddam Hussein who had weapons of mass destruction and was training terrorists, not the saudis.


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Profile   Post #: 26
RE: Mosul is liberated: IS routed - 7/11/2017 4:11:20 AM   
tweakabelle


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From: Sydney Australia
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quote:

ORIGINAL: longwayhome


quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

One look at a map will show you why we will all continue to keep Turkey as an ally.


This.

Far more important to have a democratic Turkey which respects human rights as the bulwark against Islamic extremism.

There's the rub though. Turkey's going all right wing and populist, which means worse international relations, problems with NATO, issues with internal minority rights and potential political corruption. All of which does not bode well.

That may well be the geopolitical situation, and its certainly true that Turkey is ultra paranoid about Kurdish independence. However the "facts on the ground" complicate this enormously.

The Kurds have skillfully built de facto independent mini-Kurdistans in the Kurdish regions of Iraq and Syria. The Kurds took advantage of the chaos in post-invasion Iraq to create their own self administered statelet around their capital Erbil. In Syria, Kurds have led the fight against the thugs of IS, and the lands seized from IS (at great cost in lives and treasure) set up another mini-Kurdistan. The two mini-Kurdistans are contiguous geographically. From a Kurdish perspective, the only remaining major area of Kurdistan still under non-Kurdish rule is the Kurdish region of South West Turkey, which adjoin the Kurdish regions in Syria and Iraq.

Turkey is very sensitive to any suggestion of creating a Kurdistan, a Kurdish state that would unite these three areas. They view the Kurds as terrorists, and are pretty ruthless in suppressing Turkey's Kurds. They have sent troops into Iraq to try to forestall moves there by Kurd to increase their independence from Baghdad. While the Kurds are formidable militarily, having acquired arms and experience from the fight to dislodge IS, the Turks are vastly more powerful militarily. Turkey remains implacable against any moves towards recognising Kurdish rights to self determination and nationhood.

So, the situation in the Kurdish areas of all three countries - Turkey Iraq and Syria - remains fluid, and the possibility of IS taking advantage of this, regrouping and recovering some of the territory they have lost cannot be discounted. Nor can the possibility of large scale Turkish intervention in either or both of Syria and Iraq. The trend within Turkey towards right wing jingoistic nationalism makes the possibilities either a peaceful resolution or Turkish concessions towards Kurdish independence even more remote

It is difficult to see a resolution of the Kurdish question without further bloodshed. The history of the Kurds is one of a people betrayed by the Great Powers, who have repeatedly promised the Kurds their homeland only to renege on these promises, leaving the Kurdish people vulnerable to savage and ruthless oppression from the various Govts in Turkey, Iraq and Syria. I'm afraid to say that the probablity of this history being repeated seems the most likely outcome at the moment.

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Profile   Post #: 27
RE: Mosul is liberated: IS routed - 7/11/2017 4:13:47 AM   
mnottertail


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Joined: 11/3/2004
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Or it will turn out like China after wwII

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Profile   Post #: 28
RE: Mosul is liberated: IS routed - 7/11/2017 5:33:26 AM   
WhoreMods


Posts: 10691
Joined: 5/6/2016
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: ThatDizzyChick

FR
And how many innocent people died to achieve this glorious victory?

Famous, rather than glorious according to Southey:
quote:


IX.

They say it was a shocking sight
After the field was won,
For many thousand bodies here
Lay rotting in the sun;
But things like that you know must be
After a famous victory.

X.

Great praise the Duke of Marlbro' won,
And our good Prince Eugene.—
Why 'twas a very wicked thing!
Said little Wilhelmine.
Nay—nay—my little girl, quoth he,
It was a famous victory.

XI.

And every body praised the Duke
Who such a fight did win.
But what good came of it at last?—
Quoth little Peterkin.
Why that I cannot tell, said he,
But 'twas a famous victory.


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Profile   Post #: 29
RE: Mosul is liberated: IS routed - 7/12/2017 12:19:02 AM   
longwayhome


Posts: 1035
Joined: 1/9/2008
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle


quote:

ORIGINAL: longwayhome


quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

One look at a map will show you why we will all continue to keep Turkey as an ally.


This.

Far more important to have a democratic Turkey which respects human rights as the bulwark against Islamic extremism.

There's the rub though. Turkey's going all right wing and populist, which means worse international relations, problems with NATO, issues with internal minority rights and potential political corruption. All of which does not bode well.

That may well be the geopolitical situation, and its certainly true that Turkey is ultra paranoid about Kurdish independence. However the "facts on the ground" complicate this enormously.

The Kurds have skillfully built de facto independent mini-Kurdistans in the Kurdish regions of Iraq and Syria. The Kurds took advantage of the chaos in post-invasion Iraq to create their own self administered statelet around their capital Erbil. In Syria, Kurds have led the fight against the thugs of IS, and the lands seized from IS (at great cost in lives and treasure) set up another mini-Kurdistan. The two mini-Kurdistans are contiguous geographically. From a Kurdish perspective, the only remaining major area of Kurdistan still under non-Kurdish rule is the Kurdish region of South West Turkey, which adjoin the Kurdish regions in Syria and Iraq.

Turkey is very sensitive to any suggestion of creating a Kurdistan, a Kurdish state that would unite these three areas. They view the Kurds as terrorists, and are pretty ruthless in suppressing Turkey's Kurds. They have sent troops into Iraq to try to forestall moves there by Kurd to increase their independence from Baghdad. While the Kurds are formidable militarily, having acquired arms and experience from the fight to dislodge IS, the Turks are vastly more powerful militarily. Turkey remains implacable against any moves towards recognising Kurdish rights to self determination and nationhood.

So, the situation in the Kurdish areas of all three countries - Turkey Iraq and Syria - remains fluid, and the possibility of IS taking advantage of this, regrouping and recovering some of the territory they have lost cannot be discounted. Nor can the possibility of large scale Turkish intervention in either or both of Syria and Iraq. The trend within Turkey towards right wing jingoistic nationalism makes the possibilities either a peaceful resolution or Turkish concessions towards Kurdish independence even more remote

It is difficult to see a resolution of the Kurdish question without further bloodshed. The history of the Kurds is one of a people betrayed by the Great Powers, who have repeatedly promised the Kurds their homeland only to renege on these promises, leaving the Kurdish people vulnerable to savage and ruthless oppression from the various Govts in Turkey, Iraq and Syria. I'm afraid to say that the probablity of this history being repeated seems the most likely outcome at the moment.


All this is certainly true.

With overlapping state and national interests, a "solution" would seem optimistic - the question is whether whatever imperfect and uneasy compromise can maintain the semblance of peace. Seductive though it would be to end Kurdish grievances by creating a united Kurdistan, the destabilising effect on the other countries and the interests of other cultural minorities would not be straightforward.

(in reply to tweakabelle)
Profile   Post #: 30
RE: Mosul is liberated: IS routed - 7/12/2017 3:32:11 AM   
DesideriScuri


Posts: 12225
Joined: 1/18/2012
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle
That may well be the geopolitical situation, and its certainly true that Turkey is ultra paranoid about Kurdish independence. However the "facts on the ground" complicate this enormously.

The Kurds have skillfully built de facto independent mini-Kurdistans in the Kurdish regions of Iraq and Syria. The Kurds took advantage of the chaos in post-invasion Iraq to create their own self administered statelet around their capital Erbil. In Syria, Kurds have led the fight against the thugs of IS, and the lands seized from IS (at great cost in lives and treasure) set up another mini-Kurdistan. The two mini-Kurdistans are contiguous geographically. From a Kurdish perspective, the only remaining major area of Kurdistan still under non-Kurdish rule is the Kurdish region of South West Turkey, which adjoin the Kurdish regions in Syria and Iraq.

Turkey is very sensitive to any suggestion of creating a Kurdistan, a Kurdish state that would unite these three areas. They view the Kurds as terrorists, and are pretty ruthless in suppressing Turkey's Kurds. They have sent troops into Iraq to try to forestall moves there by Kurd to increase their independence from Baghdad. While the Kurds are formidable militarily, having acquired arms and experience from the fight to dislodge IS, the Turks are vastly more powerful militarily. Turkey remains implacable against any moves towards recognising Kurdish rights to self determination and nationhood.

So, the situation in the Kurdish areas of all three countries - Turkey Iraq and Syria - remains fluid, and the possibility of IS taking advantage of this, regrouping and recovering some of the territory they have lost cannot be discounted. Nor can the possibility of large scale Turkish intervention in either or both of Syria and Iraq. The trend within Turkey towards right wing jingoistic nationalism makes the possibilities either a peaceful resolution or Turkish concessions towards Kurdish independence even more remote

It is difficult to see a resolution of the Kurdish question without further bloodshed. The history of the Kurds is one of a people betrayed by the Great Powers, who have repeatedly promised the Kurds their homeland only to renege on these promises, leaving the Kurdish people vulnerable to savage and ruthless oppression from the various Govts in Turkey, Iraq and Syria. I'm afraid to say that the probablity of this history being repeated seems the most likely outcome at the moment.


Would the Kurd's be akin to the Palestinians, or the Israelis (prior to 1948)?


_____________________________

What I support:

  • A Conservative interpretation of the US Constitution
  • Personal Responsibility
  • Help for the truly needy
  • Limited Government
  • Consumption Tax (non-profit charities and food exempt)

(in reply to tweakabelle)
Profile   Post #: 31
RE: Mosul is liberated: IS routed - 7/12/2017 5:43:13 AM   
Musicmystery


Posts: 30259
Joined: 3/14/2005
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: longwayhome


quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle


quote:

ORIGINAL: longwayhome


quote:

ORIGINAL: Musicmystery

One look at a map will show you why we will all continue to keep Turkey as an ally.


This.

Far more important to have a democratic Turkey which respects human rights as the bulwark against Islamic extremism.

There's the rub though. Turkey's going all right wing and populist, which means worse international relations, problems with NATO, issues with internal minority rights and potential political corruption. All of which does not bode well.

That may well be the geopolitical situation, and its certainly true that Turkey is ultra paranoid about Kurdish independence. However the "facts on the ground" complicate this enormously.

The Kurds have skillfully built de facto independent mini-Kurdistans in the Kurdish regions of Iraq and Syria. The Kurds took advantage of the chaos in post-invasion Iraq to create their own self administered statelet around their capital Erbil. In Syria, Kurds have led the fight against the thugs of IS, and the lands seized from IS (at great cost in lives and treasure) set up another mini-Kurdistan. The two mini-Kurdistans are contiguous geographically. From a Kurdish perspective, the only remaining major area of Kurdistan still under non-Kurdish rule is the Kurdish region of South West Turkey, which adjoin the Kurdish regions in Syria and Iraq.

Turkey is very sensitive to any suggestion of creating a Kurdistan, a Kurdish state that would unite these three areas. They view the Kurds as terrorists, and are pretty ruthless in suppressing Turkey's Kurds. They have sent troops into Iraq to try to forestall moves there by Kurd to increase their independence from Baghdad. While the Kurds are formidable militarily, having acquired arms and experience from the fight to dislodge IS, the Turks are vastly more powerful militarily. Turkey remains implacable against any moves towards recognising Kurdish rights to self determination and nationhood.

So, the situation in the Kurdish areas of all three countries - Turkey Iraq and Syria - remains fluid, and the possibility of IS taking advantage of this, regrouping and recovering some of the territory they have lost cannot be discounted. Nor can the possibility of large scale Turkish intervention in either or both of Syria and Iraq. The trend within Turkey towards right wing jingoistic nationalism makes the possibilities either a peaceful resolution or Turkish concessions towards Kurdish independence even more remote

It is difficult to see a resolution of the Kurdish question without further bloodshed. The history of the Kurds is one of a people betrayed by the Great Powers, who have repeatedly promised the Kurds their homeland only to renege on these promises, leaving the Kurdish people vulnerable to savage and ruthless oppression from the various Govts in Turkey, Iraq and Syria. I'm afraid to say that the probablity of this history being repeated seems the most likely outcome at the moment.


All this is certainly true.

With overlapping state and national interests, a "solution" would seem optimistic - the question is whether whatever imperfect and uneasy compromise can maintain the semblance of peace. Seductive though it would be to end Kurdish grievances by creating a united Kurdistan, the destabilising effect on the other countries and the interests of other cultural minorities would not be straightforward.

Not to mention the geography.

Turkey borders the Mediterranean and Black Seas, as well is Syria, Iraq, and Iran.
(not to mention Greece, Bulgaria, Georgia, and Armenia).

Its strategic partnership as a friendly place for our ships, planes, and troops is paramount.

But it's being threatened by support for the Kurds:

WASHINGTON — A prominent Turkish newspaper has demanded the eviction of U.S. troops and warplanes from Incirlik Air Base as fallout there worsens from the Trump administration's controversial move to arm a Kurdish militia fighting the Islamic State in neighboring Syria.

In a front-page editorial published Friday, the newspaper Sozcu called for Incirlik's complete closure. It's an unlikely outcome, military officials and observers say, but a clear sign of how dramatically relations have deteriorated between the NATO allies.

http://www.militarytimes.com/articles/us-troops-turkey-incirlik-ypg-pkk-syrian-kurds

Certainly there's a strong case for an independent Kurdistan. But it's not likely to happen. Of if it does, at best it would be a tiny sliver of land, more a flash point than a solution.

(in reply to longwayhome)
Profile   Post #: 32
RE: Mosul is liberated: IS routed - 7/12/2017 7:28:44 AM   
BoscoX


Posts: 11372
Joined: 12/10/2016
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: tweakabelle
Even as IS is routed on the battlefield, the Islamist ideology will live on, and we are likely to see an increase in guerilla tactics in Syria/Iraq and suicide attacks in Europe. How then can the vicious Islamist ideology be defeated? Are we doomed to live with IS's atrocities for the foreseeable future?
Your thoughts .....


    quote:

    Are we doomed to live with IS's atrocities for the foreseeable future?


Sadly, I think we are, because....
    quote:

    How then can the vicious Islamist ideology be defeated?


'Bombing them back to the stone age' won't do it. How many times have we (mainly the US) done that and it not worked? Chop off one head, and another or 3 emerge in its stead. To deal with the hate, we need to change people's hearts and minds. That takes quite a bit longer, initially. But, get 'er started and it will snowball until those who still hate are the outcast minority.



Keep them contained as if it were a Zombie outbreak while we search for the antidote, which is education. They have to learn that their bloodthirsty god is a fraud. An enslaver of mankind

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Profile   Post #: 33
RE: Mosul is liberated: IS routed - 7/12/2017 9:00:02 AM   
mnottertail


Posts: 60698
Joined: 11/3/2004
Status: offline
Their bloodthirsty god is the god of the jews.

_____________________________

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Profile   Post #: 34
RE: Mosul is liberated: IS routed - 7/12/2017 9:29:11 AM   
WhoreMods


Posts: 10691
Joined: 5/6/2016
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: mnottertail

Their bloodthirsty god is the god of the jews.

Careful: you'll set conspiracy boy off in yet another thread...

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Profile   Post #: 35
RE: Mosul is liberated: IS routed - 7/26/2017 7:26:47 AM   
Musicmystery


Posts: 30259
Joined: 3/14/2005
Status: offline
It's not like him to miss his cue.

(in reply to WhoreMods)
Profile   Post #: 36
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