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RE: Minimum wage in america - 12/26/2013 1:55:59 PM   
DomKen


Posts: 19457
Joined: 7/4/2004
From: Chicago, IL
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
You are merely raising your voice (Ie., reposting) when you should be supporting your argument or changing your beliefs.

No, I'll keep repeating myself until you stop handwaving away my argument.

quote:

The business should not (and will not) pay the company more for being a notarty unless it results in more money for the company.

And since it does compared to going to an outside notary then the employer should pay the employee more. Nice of you to make my point for me.


(in reply to Phydeaux)
Profile   Post #: 421
RE: Minimum wage in america - 12/26/2013 5:33:52 PM   
LookieNoNookie


Posts: 12216
Joined: 8/9/2008
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: LookieNoNookie


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

quote:

ORIGINAL: LookieNoNookie


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
Think about this - the historical average of just sticking your money in the dow jones is 16%. So what they get for the hassle of risking their money setting up a business and employing people is.. LESS money.

Not true. Historically the average is under 12% and more recently lower than that.
http://blog.petetheplanner.com/what-rate-of-return-should-you-expect-on-your-investments

And anyone who puts there money in the Dow or any stock fund and expects to hit the market average is nuts. The fund always takes a cut which comes directly out of your earnings. So figure on less than 7%. Which is very close to the historic profit margins for businesses.

And yes it is a matter of fairness for an employer to pass on some of the gains in productivity by his employees to his employees.



If the increase was caused by their distinct and specific efforts, I would agree.

And when that does occur, equally effective owners/CEO's and employers do...exactly that.

When it's not due to the distinct and specific effort of the employee, rather the employer's investment in productivity, no.

I've never seen or heard of an increase in worker productivity that did not involve the worker.

Take a rather well known example. Secretaries, legal researchers and all the other workers whose job is to produce documents. Going from handwriting to typewriters and later to computers with word processing software. The employer may have bought the hardware but the worker had to use it and learn to use it well. Otherwise there would have been no productivity gain.

So should the employee share in the productivity increase or not?


Perhaps you've heard of computers then.

And I've heard of data entry operators, DBA's, programmers and IT support staff who are all needed to make those computers actually increase productivity as well as the employees who must know how to use those computers to increase their productivity.


You may possibly be aware that during Clinton's reign, jobs rose by nearly 21 million (more than any other Presidential 8 year period...actually, to date...then....more than any 8 Presidents before him. Combined).

Prior to his 8 years, Republicans were responsible for the greater percentage of, and in fact actual, numbers of jobs created. Clinton's gift to us as to jobs was no less than a fluke, combined with the fact that he worked diligently not to fuck it up...however, there was something very unique that occurred during Clinton's 8 years:

Not to take anything away from his Presidency....he was a phenomenal President...and any Republican that tells you otherwise....isn't paying attention....he was however, a slimy piece of human sewage (he was also, just to restate, a spectacularly successful Prez).

That being said, Bush (prior to his electoral demise) had just raised taxes (albeit during the same term that prior to being elected he said "watch my lips...no new taxes") more than any other Prez had ever done in history (in dollars and in fact).

So, for clarification, as to deficit spending...Clinton was handed on January 21, 150 billion dollars to set against any deficit, without lifting a finger.

That was in 1991. In 1992 the computer age had begun, but hadn't actually culminated...meaning...no one was doing much more than playing asteroids with these things but....there were now millions of them. A market was waiting for geniuses in garages...and...it came.

By 1994, Microsoft Excel had become a predominant player in the world of computers (calculations/spreadsheets, precursor to Intuit and other accounting programs) and by 1995, people in garages across the country found they could type their own letters (faster than asking their secretary to do so), these geniuses rose to the occasion (with now millions of customers) and created software that made things happen....fast.

Greenspan now says (when he was confused at the time why productivity was a Preakness horse "but there's no sense behind it") "We didn't know. We had absolutely nothing in history to compare it to, but suddenly, as if uncontrollably, productivity simply couldn't be stopped...it grew by 4, 5 and 8% all while prices were falling".

The same exact thing (for you historians) happened during the steam age and leather belts running turbines and grist mills. And then, as in all technology....it stalled.

Of course Greenspan had precedence....he just didn't find it.

He was also being cow towed by Congress to state that "we can increase spending forever....we're in a brand new age".

So, Clinton had unprecedented availability of new cash flow thanks to new tax revenue he could always claim he never voted for (and never said "Thanks George") and tax payers, who through no fault of their own were producing more for the same effort, and at lower cost per unit of production, thanks to computers.

It was as if suddenly in 1923, right at the point where folks learned that re-gearing their John Deer's would gain 12% more efficiency without reducing torque, someone came along and said "I'll re-gear your John Deer to multiply your efficiencies by factors of 7, and....I'll promise you'll only have to fill your gas tank once per day as opposed to 5 times per day"

Twofer.

Threefer....

10fer.

Clinton rocked...but he was the recipient of good blessings....not the cause.

Ergo, why wages didn't rise during that time in real terms was almost purely because....companies had spent 9 years spending, being told "computers are going to increase your revenues by factors untold" (and had invested heavily on the promise of same) and by 1996, productivity was (finally) rising even if you sat on your hands because....computers had finally become so capable, for small corporations (moreso for large ones), of handling reasonably sized databases, contract proposals that changed efficiencies for all and in the end....for 5 years, it was a free fall of "we (America) can't do any wrong" (which by the way, was why they were able to project in 1997 that there would be surpluses as far as the eye could see).

I don't take away anything from the man, but he didn't cause that growth, nor did the IT guys. They simply had been given (finally) a really cool shovel that now did vastly more than dig holes.

And when it did....it dug them better, with less effort and less time.

Today those gains have been cemented into our basic operations.

Now, that's the status quo.

Want a big raise now?

Take the above and create something that puts a company's growth rate 35% above and in front of your competitors.

Until then....you're getting paid (quite) well.

(And fairly).

Otherwise, invest in a (paid for) gigantor server farm....and we'll talk money.


< Message edited by LookieNoNookie -- 12/26/2013 6:07:17 PM >

(in reply to DomKen)
Profile   Post #: 422
RE: Minimum wage in america - 12/26/2013 5:51:25 PM   
LookieNoNookie


Posts: 12216
Joined: 8/9/2008
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: thompsonx


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

You have a fundamentally flawed understanding of "employer risk". Employer risk isn't when you go to the bank.

Employer risk is when you take money that you have already paid taxes on - and create a business. Your startup capitol is at risk - as well as any returns you would have normally received.


That would be your unsubstantiated opinion.
How bout you show us how many businesses have started that way vs. how many start the way I described...My proof is every business loan ever made by a bank or the sba.
Then there is the issue you failed to address from my post is the korporation thingie which shields all of thier personal assets....so once again puuuuuleeeeeze



How about you show us proof of the alternative Thompson?

Your proof is "every business loan ever made..."?

Wow....you're gonna need a new hard drive bub.

(And a few brain cells).

(in reply to thompsonx)
Profile   Post #: 423
RE: Minimum wage in america - 12/26/2013 5:56:08 PM   
LookieNoNookie


Posts: 12216
Joined: 8/9/2008
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

quote:

ORIGINAL: thompsonx


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

You have a fundamentally flawed understanding of "employer risk". Employer risk isn't when you go to the bank.

Employer risk is when you take money that you have already paid taxes on - and create a business. Your startup capitol is at risk - as well as any returns you would have normally received.


That would be your unsubstantiated opinion.
How bout you show us how many businesses have started that way vs. how many start the way I described...My proof is every business loan ever made by a bank or the sba.
Then there is the issue you failed to address from my post is the korporation thingie which shields all of thier personal assets....so once again puuuuuleeeeeze



Virtually no business starts the way you seem to think - with a loan from a bank. I have incorporated three businesses. Am working on a fourth. My family started their own business. My grandfather started his own business.

I am a member of the chamber of commerce. And have participated in several business forums.

So, once again, I tell you.

Your shallow preconceptions on how businesses are formed are completely wrong.

While there will be exceptions - virtually every case, the bank is going to want to see that you've put your money in first. That you have skin in the game.

And the usual method to finance these things is you run up your credit cards. Put a loan on your house. Borrow from your family and friends.





And then statistically, you also run up your Mom's credit cards, your Dad's,your brothers....and you might, as you know....might have a 20% shot (if you work 9 days a week, 36 hours a day for the next 12 years).

And pray you'll repay them while every employee leaves on time on Friday and says "Boss....you gotta take some time off man..."

Phydeaux....there's no chance these folks will ever grasp this stuff....more specifically, Thompson or Dom (kouf) Ken.

(in reply to Phydeaux)
Profile   Post #: 424
RE: Minimum wage in america - 12/26/2013 6:00:07 PM   
LookieNoNookie


Posts: 12216
Joined: 8/9/2008
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

And I've already proven that claim false.

If a company is losing money, it needs to spend its money in areas that will earn it a return. Which may (or may not) include paying the secretaries more money.

If a company isn't losing money, it is a question of what makes sense for the business. Let me give another example.
Suppose you have a secretary. The company pays her to become a notary - something that costs $25 per year. Should the company give the secretary a $1/hr raise, even though the employee has theoretically become more valuable?

Of course not. The cost to get any other employee to be a notary would likewise be minimal. But what the employee has gained is that if the company wants to fire a secretary, they are slightly less likely to fire her. And she gains slightly greater employability if she is let go.

In other words - there are other forms of renumeration. How & if to renumerate an employee is a decision that depends on what makes sense for the business.

Bullshit.
You keep trying to change the subject.

Once more, if an employee is more productive then that employee is entitled to share in that increase.

Even your example is wrong. If a business needs a notary they have two options, employ a notary or pay for an outside notary. If they decide to get a secretary to become a notary then they should pay that employee more since there is a hell of a lot more to being a notary than paying a $25 fee. When a notary affixes their stamp to a document that is a legal representation that the document was signed in their presence by the person whose signature appears. Which doesn't sound like a big deal until you look into the mortgage industry and the robosigning scandal.

IOW just as in all other areas you simply have no idea what you are talking about.


Dom (kouf) Ken, Phydeaux has clearly stated in 3 separate posts that, if the employee is the cause, it would be foolish not to compensate them.

Why you continue to dictate that he hasn't answered your question ("should an employee be compensated if....") is startling. It indicates that you can't read, which, I debate.

Maybe it's just that the words appear to you as singular dots, meaningless.

That doesn't change the fact that he has abundantly responded more than effectively to your posts (as have several others).

(in reply to DomKen)
Profile   Post #: 425
RE: Minimum wage in america - 12/26/2013 8:48:48 PM   
graceadieu


Posts: 1518
Joined: 3/20/2008
From: Maryland
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen
quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
Think about this - the historical average of just sticking your money in the dow jones is 16%. So what they get for the hassle of risking their money setting up a business and employing people is.. LESS money.

Not true. Historically the average is under 12% and more recently lower than that.
http://blog.petetheplanner.com/what-rate-of-return-should-you-expect-on-your-investments
And anyone who puts there money in the Dow or any stock fund and expects to hit the market average is nuts. The fund always takes a cut which comes directly out of your earnings. So figure on less than 7%. Which is very close to the historic profit margins for businesses.
And yes it is a matter of fairness for an employer to pass on some of the gains in productivity by his employees to his employees.


Is it also a matter of fairness for an employer to pass on some of the gains in productivity by the process to his employees, too?


Is it not the employees that implement the process?


Thanks. I was going to write a longer response, but it was basically this.

If a new tool or method allows a worker to produce twice as many units per day than in the past, then that worker has doubled their production - even if they're not working twice as hard to do so. And they should get payed more because of it. Maybe not double their old wage, because the new tool needs to be paid for and the employer should get some profit, but it'd be unethical for the employer to fire half their workforce and pocket the entire 100% increase in profits.

(in reply to DomKen)
Profile   Post #: 426
RE: Minimum wage in america - 12/26/2013 8:54:21 PM   
DomKen


Posts: 19457
Joined: 7/4/2004
From: Chicago, IL
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: LookieNoNookie


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

And I've already proven that claim false.

If a company is losing money, it needs to spend its money in areas that will earn it a return. Which may (or may not) include paying the secretaries more money.

If a company isn't losing money, it is a question of what makes sense for the business. Let me give another example.
Suppose you have a secretary. The company pays her to become a notary - something that costs $25 per year. Should the company give the secretary a $1/hr raise, even though the employee has theoretically become more valuable?

Of course not. The cost to get any other employee to be a notary would likewise be minimal. But what the employee has gained is that if the company wants to fire a secretary, they are slightly less likely to fire her. And she gains slightly greater employability if she is let go.

In other words - there are other forms of renumeration. How & if to renumerate an employee is a decision that depends on what makes sense for the business.

Bullshit.
You keep trying to change the subject.

Once more, if an employee is more productive then that employee is entitled to share in that increase.

Even your example is wrong. If a business needs a notary they have two options, employ a notary or pay for an outside notary. If they decide to get a secretary to become a notary then they should pay that employee more since there is a hell of a lot more to being a notary than paying a $25 fee. When a notary affixes their stamp to a document that is a legal representation that the document was signed in their presence by the person whose signature appears. Which doesn't sound like a big deal until you look into the mortgage industry and the robosigning scandal.

IOW just as in all other areas you simply have no idea what you are talking about.


Dom (kouf) Ken, Phydeaux has clearly stated in 3 separate posts that, if the employee is the cause, it would be foolish not to compensate them.

Why you continue to dictate that he hasn't answered your question ("should an employee be compensated if....") is startling. It indicates that you can't read, which, I debate.

Maybe it's just that the words appear to you as singular dots, meaningless.

That doesn't change the fact that he has abundantly responded more than effectively to your posts (as have several others).

But you both continue to ignore the simple fact that all productivity increases involve employees. He has tried to pretend that having an employee who is also a notary should not increase that employees compensation. What could more directly require increasing compensation than making a single employee legally responsible for the validity of signatures on legal documents?

(in reply to LookieNoNookie)
Profile   Post #: 427
RE: Minimum wage in america - 12/26/2013 8:56:20 PM   
graceadieu


Posts: 1518
Joined: 3/20/2008
From: Maryland
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: thompsonx


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

You have a fundamentally flawed understanding of "employer risk". Employer risk isn't when you go to the bank.

Employer risk is when you take money that you have already paid taxes on - and create a business. Your startup capitol is at risk - as well as any returns you would have normally received.


That would be your unsubstantiated opinion.
How bout you show us how many businesses have started that way vs. how many start the way I described...My proof is every business loan ever made by a bank or the sba.
Then there is the issue you failed to address from my post is the korporation thingie which shields all of thier personal assets....so once again puuuuuleeeeeze



I've missed most of this because I have Phydeux on "hide", but to be fair, one of the big functions of the SBA is provide guaranteed loans to first-time small business owners, who all banks think of as too risky to bother lending money to. (Or if they do lend you money, it's only if you can provide collateral... so if your business fails you lose your house or 401k or whatever.)

< Message edited by graceadieu -- 12/26/2013 9:00:54 PM >

(in reply to thompsonx)
Profile   Post #: 428
RE: Minimum wage in america - 12/26/2013 9:05:37 PM   
LookieNoNookie


Posts: 12216
Joined: 8/9/2008
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: LookieNoNookie


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

And I've already proven that claim false.

If a company is losing money, it needs to spend its money in areas that will earn it a return. Which may (or may not) include paying the secretaries more money.

If a company isn't losing money, it is a question of what makes sense for the business. Let me give another example.
Suppose you have a secretary. The company pays her to become a notary - something that costs $25 per year. Should the company give the secretary a $1/hr raise, even though the employee has theoretically become more valuable?

Of course not. The cost to get any other employee to be a notary would likewise be minimal. But what the employee has gained is that if the company wants to fire a secretary, they are slightly less likely to fire her. And she gains slightly greater employability if she is let go.

In other words - there are other forms of renumeration. How & if to renumerate an employee is a decision that depends on what makes sense for the business.

Bullshit.
You keep trying to change the subject.

Once more, if an employee is more productive then that employee is entitled to share in that increase.

Even your example is wrong. If a business needs a notary they have two options, employ a notary or pay for an outside notary. If they decide to get a secretary to become a notary then they should pay that employee more since there is a hell of a lot more to being a notary than paying a $25 fee. When a notary affixes their stamp to a document that is a legal representation that the document was signed in their presence by the person whose signature appears. Which doesn't sound like a big deal until you look into the mortgage industry and the robosigning scandal.

IOW just as in all other areas you simply have no idea what you are talking about.


Dom (kouf) Ken, Phydeaux has clearly stated in 3 separate posts that, if the employee is the cause, it would be foolish not to compensate them.

Why you continue to dictate that he hasn't answered your question ("should an employee be compensated if....") is startling. It indicates that you can't read, which, I debate.

Maybe it's just that the words appear to you as singular dots, meaningless.

That doesn't change the fact that he has abundantly responded more than effectively to your posts (as have several others).

But you both continue to ignore the simple fact that all productivity increases involve employees. He has tried to pretend that having an employee who is also a notary should not increase that employees compensation. What could more directly require increasing compensation than making a single employee legally responsible for the validity of signatures on legal documents?


That all productivity increases ALWAYS involve employees....is not in debate.

That ALL productivity is BECAUSE of employees is.

And, considering that to be a notary requires nothing more than passing a criminal background check and the ability to sign a form (which in nearly all cases, all of which is paid for by the employer) is not a mandate for increased pay....it's a mandate for the employer (who likely paid for this employee to become said notary) to benefit from said expense and increased revenues.

(If however, the employee came in with that asset, at no cost to the employer....absolutely, they're worth another 50 cents or some appropriate number depending on how many times daily they do such a thing).

< Message edited by LookieNoNookie -- 12/26/2013 9:30:58 PM >

(in reply to DomKen)
Profile   Post #: 429
RE: Minimum wage in america - 12/26/2013 9:15:19 PM   
DesideriScuri


Posts: 12225
Joined: 1/18/2012
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: graceadieu
If a new tool or method allows a worker to produce twice as many units per day than in the past, then that worker has doubled their production - even if they're not working twice as hard to do so. And they should get payed more because of it. Maybe not double their old wage, because the new tool needs to be paid for and the employer should get some profit, but it'd be unethical for the employer to fire half their workforce and pocket the entire 100% increase in profits.


You'd be wrong. The worker didn't double his/her production, the tool or method did. If there was no more skill needed or used by the employee, what is the employer paying for? What makes that employee different from the next guy with the exact same skills?

I'm listening to Human Action by Ludwig von Mises on tape. It's quite interesting. In it, he states that the wages an employee is offered should be as high as necessary to prevent competing businesses (competing for the employment of people with the same skills) from luring the employee away. If an employee is more valuable than before, he/she should be compensated for it. If they aren't any more valuable, that is, if they are as easily replaced as before, then, what is the basis for the increased pay?

Understand, too, that if an employer pockets the increased profits, that increases profit margins, which tends to attract competition, leading to lower profit margins...


_____________________________

What I support:

  • A Conservative interpretation of the US Constitution
  • Personal Responsibility
  • Help for the truly needy
  • Limited Government
  • Consumption Tax (non-profit charities and food exempt)

(in reply to graceadieu)
Profile   Post #: 430
RE: Minimum wage in america - 12/26/2013 9:28:32 PM   
LookieNoNookie


Posts: 12216
Joined: 8/9/2008
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: graceadieu
If a new tool or method allows a worker to produce twice as many units per day than in the past, then that worker has doubled their production - even if they're not working twice as hard to do so. And they should get payed more because of it. Maybe not double their old wage, because the new tool needs to be paid for and the employer should get some profit, but it'd be unethical for the employer to fire half their workforce and pocket the entire 100% increase in profits.


You'd be wrong. The worker didn't double his/her production, the tool or method did. If there was no more skill needed or used by the employee, what is the employer paying for? What makes that employee different from the next guy with the exact same skills?

I'm listening to Human Action by Ludwig von Mises on tape. It's quite interesting. In it, he states that the wages an employee is offered should be as high as necessary to prevent competing businesses (competing for the employment of people with the same skills) from luring the employee away. If an employee is more valuable than before, he/she should be compensated for it. If they aren't any more valuable, that is, if they are as easily replaced as before, then, what is the basis for the increased pay?

Understand, too, that if an employer pockets the increased profits, that increases profit margins, which tends to attract competition, leading to lower profit margins...



Which then sends the predicate right back to the bosses office that....the employee gets a bump but, as Desi states (incredibly well) it has nothing to do with the fact that because of the employers investment, the employee is now producing more efficiently (profitably), it has to do with the fact that now, the employee has the requisite skills to leave and demand more from another employer because he or she now has a new skill which....(AMAAAAAZING!!!!!) most employers would recognize and....(EQUALLY as AMAAAAAAZING!!!!) if the employer did not recognize the ability of said employee who now (thanks to his or her training) has the ability to transfer those skill sets to his or her (shudder!!!!) competitor, and now said competitor may subsequently learn how to compete effectively and in a similar time frame as said employer.....ergo....cutting said employers advantage in the marketplace sooooooooooo.....

The employer will find it in his (or her) best interest to give that employee a bump.

(Das how it woiks).

< Message edited by LookieNoNookie -- 12/26/2013 9:30:13 PM >

(in reply to DesideriScuri)
Profile   Post #: 431
RE: Minimum wage in america - 12/27/2013 8:30:39 AM   
thishereboi


Posts: 14463
Joined: 6/19/2008
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: LookieNoNookie

quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: LookieNoNookie


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen

quote:

ORIGINAL: LookieNoNookie


quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
Think about this - the historical average of just sticking your money in the dow jones is 16%. So what they get for the hassle of risking their money setting up a business and employing people is.. LESS money.

Not true. Historically the average is under 12% and more recently lower than that.
http://blog.petetheplanner.com/what-rate-of-return-should-you-expect-on-your-investments

And anyone who puts there money in the Dow or any stock fund and expects to hit the market average is nuts. The fund always takes a cut which comes directly out of your earnings. So figure on less than 7%. Which is very close to the historic profit margins for businesses.

And yes it is a matter of fairness for an employer to pass on some of the gains in productivity by his employees to his employees.



If the increase was caused by their distinct and specific efforts, I would agree.

And when that does occur, equally effective owners/CEO's and employers do...exactly that.

When it's not due to the distinct and specific effort of the employee, rather the employer's investment in productivity, no.

I've never seen or heard of an increase in worker productivity that did not involve the worker.

Take a rather well known example. Secretaries, legal researchers and all the other workers whose job is to produce documents. Going from handwriting to typewriters and later to computers with word processing software. The employer may have bought the hardware but the worker had to use it and learn to use it well. Otherwise there would have been no productivity gain.

So should the employee share in the productivity increase or not?


Perhaps you've heard of computers then.

And I've heard of data entry operators, DBA's, programmers and IT support staff who are all needed to make those computers actually increase productivity as well as the employees who must know how to use those computers to increase their productivity.


You may possibly be aware that during Clinton's reign, jobs rose by nearly 21 million (more than any other Presidential 8 year period...actually, to date...then....more than any 8 Presidents before him. Combined).

Prior to his 8 years, Republicans were responsible for the greater percentage of, and in fact actual, numbers of jobs created. Clinton's gift to us as to jobs was no less than a fluke, combined with the fact that he worked diligently not to fuck it up...however, there was something very unique that occurred during Clinton's 8 years:

Not to take anything away from his Presidency....he was a phenomenal President...and any Republican that tells you otherwise....isn't paying attention....he was however, a slimy piece of human sewage (he was also, just to restate, a spectacularly successful Prez).

That being said, Bush (prior to his electoral demise) had just raised taxes (albeit during the same term that prior to being elected he said "watch my lips...no new taxes") more than any other Prez had ever done in history (in dollars and in fact).

So, for clarification, as to deficit spending...Clinton was handed on January 21, 150 billion dollars to set against any deficit, without lifting a finger.

That was in 1991. In 1992 the computer age had begun, but hadn't actually culminated...meaning...no one was doing much more than playing asteroids with these things but....there were now millions of them. A market was waiting for geniuses in garages...and...it came.

By 1994, Microsoft Excel had become a predominant player in the world of computers (calculations/spreadsheets, precursor to Intuit and other accounting programs) and by 1995, people in garages across the country found they could type their own letters (faster than asking their secretary to do so), these geniuses rose to the occasion (with now millions of customers) and created software that made things happen....fast.

Greenspan now says (when he was confused at the time why productivity was a Preakness horse "but there's no sense behind it") "We didn't know. We had absolutely nothing in history to compare it to, but suddenly, as if uncontrollably, productivity simply couldn't be stopped...it grew by 4, 5 and 8% all while prices were falling".

The same exact thing (for you historians) happened during the steam age and leather belts running turbines and grist mills. And then, as in all technology....it stalled.

Of course Greenspan had precedence....he just didn't find it.

He was also being cow towed by Congress to state that "we can increase spending forever....we're in a brand new age".

So, Clinton had unprecedented availability of new cash flow thanks to new tax revenue he could always claim he never voted for (and never said "Thanks George") and tax payers, who through no fault of their own were producing more for the same effort, and at lower cost per unit of production, thanks to computers.

It was as if suddenly in 1923, right at the point where folks learned that re-gearing their John Deer's would gain 12% more efficiency without reducing torque, someone came along and said "I'll re-gear your John Deer to multiply your efficiencies by factors of 7, and....I'll promise you'll only have to fill your gas tank once per day as opposed to 5 times per day"

Twofer.

Threefer....

10fer.

Clinton rocked...but he was the recipient of good blessings....not the cause.

Ergo, why wages didn't rise during that time in real terms was almost purely because....companies had spent 9 years spending, being told "computers are going to increase your revenues by factors untold" (and had invested heavily on the promise of same) and by 1996, productivity was (finally) rising even if you sat on your hands because....computers had finally become so capable, for small corporations (moreso for large ones), of handling reasonably sized databases, contract proposals that changed efficiencies for all and in the end....for 5 years, it was a free fall of "we (America) can't do any wrong" (which by the way, was why they were able to project in 1997 that there would be surpluses as far as the eye could see).

I don't take away anything from the man, but he didn't cause that growth, nor did the IT guys. They simply had been given (finally) a really cool shovel that now did vastly more than dig holes.

And when it did....it dug them better, with less effort and less time.

Today those gains have been cemented into our basic operations.

Now, that's the status quo.

Want a big raise now?

Take the above and create something that puts a company's growth rate 35% above and in front of your competitors.

Until then....you're getting paid (quite) well.

(And fairly).

Otherwise, invest in a (paid for) gigantor server farm....and we'll talk money.



QFT

_____________________________

"Sweetie, you're wasting your gum" .. Albert


This here is the boi formerly known as orfunboi


(in reply to LookieNoNookie)
Profile   Post #: 432
RE: Minimum wage in america - 12/27/2013 9:54:10 AM   
Phydeaux


Posts: 4828
Joined: 1/4/2004
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: DomKen


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux
You are merely raising your voice (Ie., reposting) when you should be supporting your argument or changing your beliefs.

No, I'll keep repeating myself until you stop handwaving away my argument.

quote:

The business should not (and will not) pay the company more for being a notarty unless it results in more money for the company.

And since it does compared to going to an outside notary then the employer should pay the employee more. Nice of you to make my point for me.




Again, ignoring the point.

Necessary, but not sufficient.

*IF* the notary makes more money for the company, *then* the company will make a decision on whether a raise makes sense for the company.

It may not. For example, if you have a secretary being paid $60,000 per year and the prevailing wage is $50K, in at least some circumstances the business logic will be that no increase is warranted.

Which is what I've said from the beginning.


< Message edited by Phydeaux -- 12/27/2013 10:30:05 AM >

(in reply to DomKen)
Profile   Post #: 433
RE: Minimum wage in america - 12/27/2013 10:28:27 AM   
Phydeaux


Posts: 4828
Joined: 1/4/2004
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: graceadieu

quote:

ORIGINAL: thompsonx


quote:

ORIGINAL: Phydeaux

You have a fundamentally flawed understanding of "employer risk". Employer risk isn't when you go to the bank.

Employer risk is when you take money that you have already paid taxes on - and create a business. Your startup capitol is at risk - as well as any returns you would have normally received.


That would be your unsubstantiated opinion.
How bout you show us how many businesses have started that way vs. how many start the way I described...My proof is every business loan ever made by a bank or the sba.
Then there is the issue you failed to address from my post is the korporation thingie which shields all of thier personal assets....so once again puuuuuleeeeeze



I've missed most of this because I have Phydeux on "hide", but to be fair, one of the big functions of the SBA is provide guaranteed loans to first-time small business owners, who all banks think of as too risky to bother lending money to. (Or if they do lend you money, it's only if you can provide collateral... so if your business fails you lose your house or 401k or whatever.)



Which, indeed is your loss. As you will learn more about life from the people that think differently than you, than the people that think the same.

Again, I will point out that you and thompson have fundamentally no clue on this subject.

Without researching - what percent of small business do you think the SBA funds? 10%? 30%? 50%? Be honest, pick a number before you continue.

Now perhaps you'll understand when I tell you the number is probably less than 1%, and certainly less than 3%.

First: a minor quibble that many of the SBA loans do not actually involve the SBA funding the company. Its not their money being loaned. Rather, they (often) act as a guarantor. Other banks, now absent risk will then step in to make the actual loan.

But back to how things really work. In 2013 the SBA did about $30 billion in waste, er lending. American banks did more than $600 billion in the small business market.

Venture capitalists do another 30 billion a year. Angels & crowd sourcing do multiple billions, and as mentioned previously, alternative loans and other sources brought the total to around 1 trillion dollars at the peak of small business formation around 2008.

That value subsequently tanked quite a bit. But nonetheless, the SBA is not and never has been a significant originator of loans. I'm not going to look up actual numbers - you can do it yourself.

But I'll give you a quote from the NYT:
http://boss.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/01/08/the-state-of-small-business-lending/?_r=0


" I am all for the S.B.A., but as I have written previously, it represents a tiny piece of the overall puzzle – and should be thought of as such."

" the Small Business Administration. administers 1.85 percent of all small-business loans."

(And the author makes the same point that these numbers exclude the alternate financing markets like vcs, self funding etc., for which there is no data available.).

(in reply to graceadieu)
Profile   Post #: 434
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