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RE: Getting ready to attack Flynn - 12/30/2017 5:43:32 PM   
DesideriScuri


Posts: 12225
Joined: 1/18/2012
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quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01
But well-sourced journalism is a lie, because the sources are unnamed.
Got it.


How do you know the journalism is "well-sourced" if the sources are unnamed? You're just making assumptions. I'd bet your assumptions of the well-sourcedness of an article that relies on unnamed sources is in a direct relationship with how well the article aligns with your beliefs.


_____________________________

What I support:

  • A Conservative interpretation of the US Constitution
  • Personal Responsibility
  • Help for the truly needy
  • Limited Government
  • Consumption Tax (non-profit charities and food exempt)

(in reply to MasterJaguar01)
Profile   Post #: 41
RE: Getting ready to attack Flynn - 12/30/2017 6:26:52 PM   
MasterJaguar01


Posts: 2323
Joined: 12/2/2006
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01
But well-sourced journalism is a lie, because the sources are unnamed.
Got it.


How do you know the journalism is "well-sourced" if the sources are unnamed? You're just making assumptions. I'd bet your assumptions of the well-sourcedness of an article that relies on unnamed sources is in a direct relationship with how well the article aligns with your beliefs.




Well... No one knows for sure.... But WaPo and NyTimes reporters for example vis-a-vis stories on Trump-Russia have claimed to have 10-20 unique sources on their major breaking stories.

So I AM not just making assumptions. I AM, however, taking the word of the reporters. I know both these papers have high journalistic standards. If the story came from either of these papers, REGARDLESS of content, and it wasn't simply an opinion piece, I would examine the assertions, and trust that the story was well-sourced on those assertions.

(in reply to DesideriScuri)
Profile   Post #: 42
RE: Getting ready to attack Flynn - 12/30/2017 6:49:01 PM   
bounty44


Posts: 6374
Joined: 11/1/2014
Status: offline
you said absolutely nothing there that is even in the ball park as an answer to my questions.

your "mash-up" point is meaningless. some people saying similar, or even the same things are not evidence of a monolithic place given there are a dozens of others NOT saying those same things, and that there are a limited number of ways some things can be talked about, especially if some of those people are coming at the issue from a similar perspective. these people also utter thousands of words, when that occurs, some of them are bound to be the same.

this same phenomena you are talking about can be done at any network.

as far as those "well documented 'talking points'" that are coordinated between the rnc, the white house and fox, wellllll, sorry, youre just going to have to document them all. should number in the many hundreds right? with insider information that actually SHOWS coordination too right?

(you don't think the same pseudo "criticism" could be levied at other networks at other times in history?)

and then, account for all the fox personalities who are not conservatives or republicans who are not just guests, but regular hosts---how do they fit into the "fox machine?"

again, its clear to me you don't actually watch fox, but rather, you read/view occasional criticisms of the network and somehow think that passes muster. what youre doing is a joke and insulting to viewers.

quote:

Only the most sycophantic viewers fail to realize this

sometimes the phrase "fuck you" is so close on my lips. smug pompous ass will have to do.

if you want to criticize the network, watch it---faithfully.

and also again---whats the "blitz" going to look like?

(in reply to MasterJaguar01)
Profile   Post #: 43
RE: Getting ready to attack Flynn - 12/30/2017 8:03:37 PM   
MasterJaguar01


Posts: 2323
Joined: 12/2/2006
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: bounty44

you said absolutely nothing there that is even in the ball park as an answer to my questions.

your "mash-up" point is meaningless. some people saying similar, or even the same things are not evidence of a monolithic place given there are a dozens of others NOT saying those same things, and that there are a limited number of ways some things can be talked about, especially if some of those people are coming at the issue from a similar perspective. these people also utter thousands of words, when that occurs, some of them are bound to be the same.

this same phenomena you are talking about can be done at any network.

as far as those "well documented 'talking points'" that are coordinated between the rnc, the white house and fox, wellllll, sorry, youre just going to have to document them all. should number in the many hundreds right? with insider information that actually SHOWS coordination too right?

(you don't think the same pseudo "criticism" could be levied at other networks at other times in history?)

and then, account for all the fox personalities who are not conservatives or republicans who are not just guests, but regular hosts---how do they fit into the "fox machine?"

again, its clear to me you don't actually watch fox, but rather, you read/view occasional criticisms of the network and somehow think that passes muster. what youre doing is a joke and insulting to viewers.

quote:

Only the most sycophantic viewers fail to realize this

sometimes the phrase "fuck you" is so close on my lips. smug pompous ass will have to do.

if you want to criticize the network, watch it---faithfully.

and also again---whats the "blitz" going to look like?



Meh. If you want to believe that Fox is a legitimate News organization with journalistic integrity that operates independently from the White House and the RNC, you, of course are most welcome.


(in reply to bounty44)
Profile   Post #: 44
RE: Getting ready to attack Flynn - 12/30/2017 8:11:53 PM   
Lucylastic


Posts: 40310
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: bounty44

you said absolutely nothing there that is even in the ball park as an answer to my questions.

your "mash-up" point is meaningless. some people saying similar, or even the same things are not evidence of a monolithic place given there are a dozens of others NOT saying those same things, and that there are a limited number of ways some things can be talked about, especially if some of those people are coming at the issue from a similar perspective. these people also utter thousands of words, when that occurs, some of them are bound to be the same.

this same phenomena you are talking about can be done at any network.

as far as those "well documented 'talking points'" that are coordinated between the rnc, the white house and fox, wellllll, sorry, youre just going to have to document them all. should number in the many hundreds right? with insider information that actually SHOWS coordination too right?

(you don't think the same pseudo "criticism" could be levied at other networks at other times in history?)

and then, account for all the fox personalities who are not conservatives or republicans who are not just guests, but regular hosts---how do they fit into the "fox machine?"

again, its clear to me you don't actually watch fox, but rather, you read/view occasional criticisms of the network and somehow think that passes muster. what youre doing is a joke and insulting to viewers.

quote:

Only the most sycophantic viewers fail to realize this

sometimes the phrase "fuck you" is so close on my lips. smug pompous ass will have to do.

if you want to criticize the network, watch it---faithfully.

and also again---whats the "blitz" going to look like?


Amazing advice.
you should take it deep to heart.
It would give you the tiniest sliver of credibility.






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Dont Hate Love

(in reply to bounty44)
Profile   Post #: 45
RE: Getting ready to attack Flynn - 12/30/2017 8:34:12 PM   
CreativeDominant


Posts: 11032
Joined: 3/11/2006
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01


quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01
But well-sourced journalism is a lie, because the sources are unnamed.
Got it.


How do you know the journalism is "well-sourced" if the sources are unnamed? You're just making assumptions. I'd bet your assumptions of the well-sourcedness of an article that relies on unnamed sources is in a direct relationship with how well the article aligns with your beliefs.




Well... No one knows for sure.... But WaPo and NyTimes reporters for example vis-a-vis stories on Trump-Russia have claimed to have 10-20 unique sources on their major breaking stories.

So I AM not just making assumptions. I AM, however, taking the word of the reporters. I know both these papers have high journalistic standards. If the story came from either of these papers, REGARDLESS of content, and it wasn't simply an opinion piece, I would examine the assertions, and trust that the story was well-sourced on those assertions.

High journalistic standards? Not always...

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_Times_controversies

http://www.tabletmag.com/scroll/188814/the-correction

https://www.google.com/amp/s/nypost.com/2016/11/11/new-york-times-we-blew-it-on-trump/amp/
(Interesting snip from the srory...bold is mine)
While insisting his staff had “reported on both candidates fairly,” he also vowed that the paper would “rededicate ourselves to the fundamental mission of Times journalism. That is to report America and the world honestly, without fear or favor.”

Ah, there’s the rub. Had the paper actually been fair to both candidates, it wouldn’t need to rededicate itself to honest reporting. And it wouldn’t have been totally blindsided by Trump’s victory.

Instead, because it demonized Trump from start to finish, it failed to realize he was onto something. And because the paper decided that Trump’s supporters were a rabble of racist rednecks and homophobes, it DIDNT HAVE A CLUE about what was happening in the lives of the Americans who elected the new president.


https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.forbes.com/sites/kalevleetaru/2017/01/01/fake-news-and-how-the-washington-post-rewrote-its-story-on-russian-hacking-of-the-power-grid/amp/

https://www.google.com/amp/amp.dailycaller.com/2017/01/03/three-bungled-stories-on-russian-election-hacks-all-demonstrate-the-same-big-mistakes/
(Interesting paragraph from the story) The Washington Post’s three big stories on Russian meddling in recent weeks all appear to shirk basic reporting standards, in one case forcing editors to issue an embarrassing correction, and in another to fend off a potential defamation lawsuit.

Jeff Bezos, the owner of the Post, is Amazon's chief executive and biggest shareholder. Amazon has secured a 600 million dollar contract with the CIA, which poses a potential conflict. Kate Martin, director of the Center for National Security Studies, said, "It's a serious potential conflict of interest for a major newspaper like The Washington Post to have a contractual relationship with the government and the most secret part of the government."

(in reply to MasterJaguar01)
Profile   Post #: 46
RE: Getting ready to attack Flynn - 12/30/2017 8:48:23 PM   
MasterJaguar01


Posts: 2323
Joined: 12/2/2006
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: CreativeDominant


quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01


quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01
But well-sourced journalism is a lie, because the sources are unnamed.
Got it.


How do you know the journalism is "well-sourced" if the sources are unnamed? You're just making assumptions. I'd bet your assumptions of the well-sourcedness of an article that relies on unnamed sources is in a direct relationship with how well the article aligns with your beliefs.




Well... No one knows for sure.... But WaPo and NyTimes reporters for example vis-a-vis stories on Trump-Russia have claimed to have 10-20 unique sources on their major breaking stories.

So I AM not just making assumptions. I AM, however, taking the word of the reporters. I know both these papers have high journalistic standards. If the story came from either of these papers, REGARDLESS of content, and it wasn't simply an opinion piece, I would examine the assertions, and trust that the story was well-sourced on those assertions.

High journalistic standards? Not always...

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_Times_controversies

http://www.tabletmag.com/scroll/188814/the-correction

https://www.google.com/amp/s/nypost.com/2016/11/11/new-york-times-we-blew-it-on-trump/amp/
(Interesting snip from the srory...bold is mine)
While insisting his staff had “reported on both candidates fairly,” he also vowed that the paper would “rededicate ourselves to the fundamental mission of Times journalism. That is to report America and the world honestly, without fear or favor.”

Ah, there’s the rub. Had the paper actually been fair to both candidates, it wouldn’t need to rededicate itself to honest reporting. And it wouldn’t have been totally blindsided by Trump’s victory.

Instead, because it demonized Trump from start to finish, it failed to realize he was onto something. And because the paper decided that Trump’s supporters were a rabble of racist rednecks and homophobes, it DIDNT HAVE A CLUE about what was happening in the lives of the Americans who elected the new president.


https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.forbes.com/sites/kalevleetaru/2017/01/01/fake-news-and-how-the-washington-post-rewrote-its-story-on-russian-hacking-of-the-power-grid/amp/

https://www.google.com/amp/amp.dailycaller.com/2017/01/03/three-bungled-stories-on-russian-election-hacks-all-demonstrate-the-same-big-mistakes/
(Interesting paragraph from the story) The Washington Post’s three big stories on Russian meddling in recent weeks all appear to shirk basic reporting standards, in one case forcing editors to issue an embarrassing correction, and in another to fend off a potential defamation lawsuit.

Jeff Bezos, the owner of the Post, is Amazon's chief executive and biggest shareholder. Amazon has secured a 600 million dollar contract with the CIA, which poses a potential conflict. Kate Martin, director of the Center for National Security Studies, said, "It's a serious potential conflict of interest for a major newspaper like The Washington Post to have a contractual relationship with the government and the most secret part of the government."


Going through your wikipedia link...on the NY Times
Yes. You are right. Not always. Judith Miller was a shill for the Bush Administration and used Ahmad Chalabi as her source (who many believe was working with Iran)
There was of course the Jayson Blair disaster.
And they were guilty of being bullied by the Bush Administration into delaying the publication of Bush's plan to use the NSA to spy on Americans.

I never said they were perfect.

(in reply to CreativeDominant)
Profile   Post #: 47
RE: Getting ready to attack Flynn - 12/30/2017 9:09:07 PM   
MasterJaguar01


Posts: 2323
Joined: 12/2/2006
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: CreativeDominant

FR

https://www.google.com/amp/thehill.com/opinion/white-house/365393-how-quickly-ny-times-forgets-obamas-lies-and-frauds%3famp

Obama
Hillary Clinton
Susan Rice
L. Todd Wood
Eric Holder
Lois Lerner
Kathleen Sebelius
Lisa Jackson
etc.


Did you even read your link? Not just the title?
It lists some spinning about the NSA (the program that Bushstarted), an exaggeration about guns to make a point, and the infamous "If you like your doctor, you can keep your doctor", which was actually technically 100% true. (Albeit misleading)

There is nothing in the ACA that says you have to switch doctors.

Also From your link:
In early 2003, Bush’s speeches continually warned, “If war is forced upon us....” There was never any truth to war being “forced upon us” (except by the White House) but that phrase helped Bush panic audiences still jittery after 9/11. The Center for Public Integrity, which has won two Pulitzer Prizes, compiled a list of 935 lies by Bush and his top appointees on Iraq. Perhaps to preserve the column’s lofty tone, the Times omitted any mention of Bush’s four years of brazenly false denials of authorizing a worldwide torture regime.

(in reply to CreativeDominant)
Profile   Post #: 48
RE: Getting ready to attack Flynn - 12/30/2017 9:48:10 PM   
DesideriScuri


Posts: 12225
Joined: 1/18/2012
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01
It lists some spinning about the NSA (the program that Bushstarted),


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Security_Agency
    quote:

    Originating as a unit to decipher coded communications in World War II, it was officially formed as the NSA by President Harry S. Truman in 1952.


Exactly which Bush were you talking about?

quote:

and the infamous "If you like your doctor, you can keep your doctor", which was actually technically 100% true. (Albeit misleading)
There is nothing in the ACA that says you have to switch doctors.


Semantics. When the ACA forces insurance plan changes, you don't necessarily get to keep your plan, if you like your healthcare plan (another claim). When changes due to the ACA result in your doctor no longer accepting your insurance plan (whether that's the doctor's choice or the practice's), unless a person is independently wealthy enough to pay their own way, switching doctors is, in fact, due to the ACA.

But, politicians of any stripe will say damn near anything to get their way, honest truth be damned.

_____________________________

What I support:

  • A Conservative interpretation of the US Constitution
  • Personal Responsibility
  • Help for the truly needy
  • Limited Government
  • Consumption Tax (non-profit charities and food exempt)

(in reply to MasterJaguar01)
Profile   Post #: 49
RE: Getting ready to attack Flynn - 12/30/2017 10:50:11 PM   
MasterJaguar01


Posts: 2323
Joined: 12/2/2006
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01
It lists some spinning about the NSA (the program that Bushstarted),


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Security_Agency
    quote:

    Originating as a unit to decipher coded communications in World War II, it was officially formed as the NSA by President Harry S. Truman in 1952.


Exactly which Bush were you talking about?


Sorry, I should have been more clear. I didn't mean that Bush started the NSA. I meant the program to capture audio from citizens cell phones. And that would be GWB,


quote:

quote:

and the infamous "If you like your doctor, you can keep your doctor", which was actually technically 100% true. (Albeit misleading)
There is nothing in the ACA that says you have to switch doctors.


Semantics. When the ACA forces insurance plan changes, you don't necessarily get to keep your plan, if you like your healthcare plan (another claim). When changes due to the ACA result in your doctor no longer accepting your insurance plan (whether that's the doctor's choice or the practice's), unless a person is independently wealthy enough to pay their own way, switching doctors is, in fact, due to the ACA.

But, politicians of any stripe will say damn near anything to get their way, honest truth be damned.


Technically, the ACA doesn't FORCE anything. Plans start and stop all the time, with or without the ACA. Furthermore, if a plan is no longer certified to meet the ACA mandate (which I think is what you meant), there is nothing the ACA does to FORCE it not to exist.

Also, on the provider side: At the end of the day, it is the Provider's choice as to what insurance he/she will accept. There is nothing in the ACA that is prescriptive in this area. In fact, a provider is free to accept non-certified plans.


It is a bit of a semantic argument. But Obama's comments, strictly in the context of the ACA, were 100% true, albeit extremely misleading.

A far more descriptive and accurate set of comments might have been:

"Although, the ACA does nothing to mandate any change in your plan or your doctor... If you have a plan that does not meet the basic requirements of the mandate, it is likely that your insurance company will either cancel or modify your plan, which in turn can result in your doctor no longer being in your network"

Just saying.

(in reply to DesideriScuri)
Profile   Post #: 50
RE: Getting ready to attack Flynn - 12/31/2017 6:24:33 AM   
DesideriScuri


Posts: 12225
Joined: 1/18/2012
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01
quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri
quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01
It lists some spinning about the NSA (the program that Bushstarted),

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Security_Agency
    quote:

    Originating as a unit to decipher coded communications in World War II, it was officially formed as the NSA by President Harry S. Truman in 1952.

Exactly which Bush were you talking about?

Sorry, I should have been more clear. I didn't mean that Bush started the NSA. I meant the program to capture audio from citizens cell phones. And that would be GWB,


Thanks for the clarification.

quote:

quote:

quote:

and the infamous "If you like your doctor, you can keep your doctor", which was actually technically 100% true. (Albeit misleading)
There is nothing in the ACA that says you have to switch doctors.

Semantics. When the ACA forces insurance plan changes, you don't necessarily get to keep your plan, if you like your healthcare plan (another claim). When changes due to the ACA result in your doctor no longer accepting your insurance plan (whether that's the doctor's choice or the practice's), unless a person is independently wealthy enough to pay their own way, switching doctors is, in fact, due to the ACA.
But, politicians of any stripe will say damn near anything to get their way, honest truth be damned.

Technically, the ACA doesn't FORCE anything. Plans start and stop all the time, with or without the ACA. Furthermore, if a plan is no longer certified to meet the ACA mandate (which I think is what you meant), there is nothing the ACA does to FORCE it not to exist.
Also, on the provider side: At the end of the day, it is the Provider's choice as to what insurance he/she will accept. There is nothing in the ACA that is prescriptive in this area. In fact, a provider is free to accept non-certified plans.
It is a bit of a semantic argument. But Obama's comments, strictly in the context of the ACA, were 100% true, albeit extremely misleading.
A far more descriptive and accurate set of comments might have been:
"Although, the ACA does nothing to mandate any change in your plan or your doctor... If you have a plan that does not meet the basic requirements of the mandate, it is likely that your insurance company will either cancel or modify your plan, which in turn can result in your doctor no longer being in your network"
Just saying.


If a plan doesn't fit the ACA's minimum coverage requirement, it's not allowed to be sold as is, aka, it's forced out of the marketplace. They knew that was going to happen. The "you can keep your plan" was a lie. If they didn't see doctors/networks changing as a result, too, then they were complete fucking idiots and fell into the trap that seems those on the left fall into more than those on the right: they don't account for reactions to the changes their laws force. They write tax laws believing the effect of the change is the only that will happen. They don't expect or see that there will be other effects from the reactions to the changes in the laws they're writing.

The GOP tax law, if you only look at one effect and don't take into account anything that could happen as a result of it, can only lead to reduced tax revenues. But, only looking at that direct effect is short-sighted. What are the longer term effects? The GOP believes it will help spur the economy, which will help improve tax revenues. The Bush tax cuts did that. Sure, the immediate effect was a reduction in revenues, but the longer term effect was an increase in revenues.

But, I will again assert: politicians of any stripe will say damn near anything to get their way/re-elected, honest truth be damned.


_____________________________

What I support:

  • A Conservative interpretation of the US Constitution
  • Personal Responsibility
  • Help for the truly needy
  • Limited Government
  • Consumption Tax (non-profit charities and food exempt)

(in reply to MasterJaguar01)
Profile   Post #: 51
RE: Getting ready to attack Flynn - 12/31/2017 6:46:29 AM   
MasterJaguar01


Posts: 2323
Joined: 12/2/2006
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri
The GOP believes it will help spur the economy, which will help improve tax revenues. The Bush tax cuts did that. Sure, the immediate effect was a reduction in revenues, but the longer term effect was an increase in revenues.



This is an example of what we called, in my Economics 101 class in college, the Post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy.

That is a wild guess fueled by your own beliefs.
No one can prove that the Bush tax cuts improved revenues. Revenues improved as the economy improved. The economy tanked after the tax cuts.

(in reply to DesideriScuri)
Profile   Post #: 52
RE: Getting ready to attack Flynn - 12/31/2017 7:43:01 AM   
DesideriScuri


Posts: 12225
Joined: 1/18/2012
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01
quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri
The GOP believes it will help spur the economy, which will help improve tax revenues. The Bush tax cuts did that. Sure, the immediate effect was a reduction in revenues, but the longer term effect was an increase in revenues.

This is an example of what we called, in my Economics 101 class in college, the Post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy.
That is a wild guess fueled by your own beliefs.
No one can prove that the Bush tax cuts improved revenues. Revenues improved as the economy improved. The economy tanked after the tax cuts.


No, the economy was already starting to tank in 2000 with the Tech Bubble burst. Then there was 9/11 which also helped tank the economy.


_____________________________

What I support:

  • A Conservative interpretation of the US Constitution
  • Personal Responsibility
  • Help for the truly needy
  • Limited Government
  • Consumption Tax (non-profit charities and food exempt)

(in reply to MasterJaguar01)
Profile   Post #: 53
RE: Getting ready to attack Flynn - 12/31/2017 8:29:44 AM   
MasterJaguar01


Posts: 2323
Joined: 12/2/2006
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01
quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri
The GOP believes it will help spur the economy, which will help improve tax revenues. The Bush tax cuts did that. Sure, the immediate effect was a reduction in revenues, but the longer term effect was an increase in revenues.

This is an example of what we called, in my Economics 101 class in college, the Post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy.
That is a wild guess fueled by your own beliefs.
No one can prove that the Bush tax cuts improved revenues. Revenues improved as the economy improved. The economy tanked after the tax cuts.


No, the economy was already starting to tank in 2000 with the Tech Bubble burst. Then there was 9/11 which also helped tank the economy.



There was a stock market correction to be sure, and an adjust in interest rates by the fed, which kept us out of the recession. You are conflating distinct events in order to demonstrate a trend.

None of this contradicts the following 3 sentences:
1. No one can prove that the Bush tax cuts improved revenues.
2. Revenues improved as the economy improved.
3. The economy tanked after the tax cuts. (Whether or not one could accurately assert the the economy tanked before the tax cuts as well)

(in reply to DesideriScuri)
Profile   Post #: 54
RE: Getting ready to attack Flynn - 12/31/2017 1:43:02 PM   
DesideriScuri


Posts: 12225
Joined: 1/18/2012
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01
None of this contradicts the following 3 sentences:
1. No one can prove that the Bush tax cuts improved revenues.
2. Revenues improved as the economy improved.
3. The economy tanked after the tax cuts. (Whether or not one could accurately assert the the economy tanked before the tax cuts as well)


1. Tax cuts improved after the tax cuts.
2. The economy improved after the tax cuts.
3. The economy was already going down before the cuts.




_____________________________

What I support:

  • A Conservative interpretation of the US Constitution
  • Personal Responsibility
  • Help for the truly needy
  • Limited Government
  • Consumption Tax (non-profit charities and food exempt)

(in reply to MasterJaguar01)
Profile   Post #: 55
RE: Getting ready to attack Flynn - 12/31/2017 1:50:18 PM   
MasterJaguar01


Posts: 2323
Joined: 12/2/2006
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01
None of this contradicts the following 3 sentences:
1. No one can prove that the Bush tax cuts improved revenues.
2. Revenues improved as the economy improved.
3. The economy tanked after the tax cuts. (Whether or not one could accurately assert the the economy tanked before the tax cuts as well)


1. Tax cuts improved after the tax cuts.
2. The economy improved after the tax cuts.
3. The economy was already going down before the cuts.






1. Tax cuts improved after tax cuts? What?
2. The economy also tanked after tax cuts. So? More Post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy.
3. Not necessarily.

(in reply to DesideriScuri)
Profile   Post #: 56
RE: Getting ready to attack Flynn - 12/31/2017 7:56:00 PM   
DesideriScuri


Posts: 12225
Joined: 1/18/2012
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01
quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri
quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01
None of this contradicts the following 3 sentences:
1. No one can prove that the Bush tax cuts improved revenues.
2. Revenues improved as the economy improved.
3. The economy tanked after the tax cuts. (Whether or not one could accurately assert the the economy tanked before the tax cuts as well)

1. Tax cuts improved after the tax cuts.
2. The economy improved after the tax cuts.
3. The economy was already going down before the cuts.

1. Tax cuts improved after tax cuts? What?
2. The economy also tanked after tax cuts. So? More Post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy.
3. Not necessarily.


1. Tax Revenues improved after the tax cuts. (my error (obviously))
2. The economy improved after the tax cuts, and continued to improve after the majority of the tax cuts were made permanent.
3. It was already going down. It's not a "not necessarily" situation.

https://www.nber.org/cycles/november2001/
    quote:

    The NBER's Business Cycle Dating Committee has determined that a peak in business activity occurred in the U.S. economy in March 2001. A peak marks the end of an expansion and the beginning of a recession. The determination of a peak date in March is thus a determination that the expansion that began in March 1991 ended in March 2001 and a recession began. The expansion lasted exactly 10 years, the longest in the NBER's chronology
    [Bold & Italics Mine]


The Bush Tax cuts weren't introduced to Congress until May 2001, 2 months after the recessionary period started. So, yes, the economy was already contracting before the tax cuts were passed.

_____________________________

What I support:

  • A Conservative interpretation of the US Constitution
  • Personal Responsibility
  • Help for the truly needy
  • Limited Government
  • Consumption Tax (non-profit charities and food exempt)

(in reply to MasterJaguar01)
Profile   Post #: 57
RE: Getting ready to attack Flynn - 12/31/2017 8:29:35 PM   
MasterJaguar01


Posts: 2323
Joined: 12/2/2006
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri

quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01
quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri
quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01
None of this contradicts the following 3 sentences:
1. No one can prove that the Bush tax cuts improved revenues.
2. Revenues improved as the economy improved.
3. The economy tanked after the tax cuts. (Whether or not one could accurately assert the the economy tanked before the tax cuts as well)

1. Tax cuts improved after the tax cuts.
2. The economy improved after the tax cuts.
3. The economy was already going down before the cuts.

1. Tax cuts improved after tax cuts? What?
2. The economy also tanked after tax cuts. So? More Post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy.
3. Not necessarily.


1. Tax Revenues improved after the tax cuts. (my error (obviously))
2. The economy improved after the tax cuts, and continued to improve after the majority of the tax cuts were made permanent.
3. It was already going down. It's not a "not necessarily" situation.

https://www.nber.org/cycles/november2001/
    quote:

    The NBER's Business Cycle Dating Committee has determined that a peak in business activity occurred in the U.S. economy in March 2001. A peak marks the end of an expansion and the beginning of a recession. The determination of a peak date in March is thus a determination that the expansion that began in March 1991 ended in March 2001 and a recession began. The expansion lasted exactly 10 years, the longest in the NBER's chronology
    [Bold & Italics Mine]


The Bush Tax cuts weren't introduced to Congress until May 2001, 2 months after the recessionary period started. So, yes, the economy was already contracting before the tax cuts were passed.



None of this proves anything at all.

But

FWIW


1. Tax Revenues improved after the tax cuts. (my error (obviously)) - Nope.
From
https://www.thebalance.com/current-u-s-federal-government-tax-revenue-3305762
FY 2004 - $1.88 trillion.
FY 2003 - $1.72 trillion.
FY 2002 - $1.85 trillion.
FY 2001 - $1.99 trilion.
FY 2000 - $2.03 trillion.

2. The economy improved after the tax cuts, and continued to improve after the majority of the tax cuts were made permanent. - This could be due to a plethora of factors. We also went into a major recession after the tax cuts.


(in reply to DesideriScuri)
Profile   Post #: 58
RE: Getting ready to attack Flynn - 1/1/2018 1:22:25 AM   
DesideriScuri


Posts: 12225
Joined: 1/18/2012
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01
quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri
quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01
quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri
quote:

ORIGINAL: MasterJaguar01
None of this contradicts the following 3 sentences:
1. No one can prove that the Bush tax cuts improved revenues.
2. Revenues improved as the economy improved.
3. The economy tanked after the tax cuts. (Whether or not one could accurately assert the the economy tanked before the tax cuts as well)

1. Tax cuts improved after the tax cuts.
2. The economy improved after the tax cuts.
3. The economy was already going down before the cuts.

1. Tax cuts improved after tax cuts? What?
2. The economy also tanked after tax cuts. So? More Post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy.
3. Not necessarily.

1. Tax Revenues improved after the tax cuts. (my error (obviously))
2. The economy improved after the tax cuts, and continued to improve after the majority of the tax cuts were made permanent.
3. It was already going down. It's not a "not necessarily" situation.
https://www.nber.org/cycles/november2001/
    quote:

    The NBER's Business Cycle Dating Committee has determined that a peak in business activity occurred in the U.S. economy in March 2001. A peak marks the end of an expansion and the beginning of a recession. The determination of a peak date in March is thus a determination that the expansion that began in March 1991 ended in March 2001 and a recession began. The expansion lasted exactly 10 years, the longest in the NBER's chronology
    [Bold & Italics Mine]

The Bush Tax cuts weren't introduced to Congress until May 2001, 2 months after the recessionary period started. So, yes, the economy was already contracting before the tax cuts were passed.


None of this proves anything at all.


Um, it proves the economy was already starting to tank before the tax cuts. And here I thought putting the link in after the point about the economy already starting to decline would be a big tip off.

quote:

But
FWIW
1. Tax Revenues improved after the tax cuts. (my error (obviously)) - Nope.
From
https://www.thebalance.com/current-u-s-federal-government-tax-revenue-3305762
FY 2004 - $1.88 trillion.
FY 2003 - $1.72 trillion.
FY 2002 - $1.85 trillion.
FY 2001 - $1.99 trilion.
FY 2000 - $2.03 trillion.


Keep going. What was it in 2005-2009? Gotta give it some time to work, no?

quote:

2. The economy improved after the tax cuts, and continued to improve after the majority of the tax cuts were made permanent. - This could be due to a plethora of factors. We also went into a major recession after the tax cuts.


Unless you're prepared to explain the tax cuts causing the housing bubble to burst, I'm not sure what the Great Recession has to do with it.




_____________________________

What I support:

  • A Conservative interpretation of the US Constitution
  • Personal Responsibility
  • Help for the truly needy
  • Limited Government
  • Consumption Tax (non-profit charities and food exempt)

(in reply to MasterJaguar01)
Profile   Post #: 59
RE: Getting ready to attack Flynn - 1/1/2018 5:26:12 AM   
MasterJaguar01


Posts: 2323
Joined: 12/2/2006
Status: offline

quote:

ORIGINAL: DesideriScuri
quote:


But
FWIW
1. Tax Revenues improved after the tax cuts. (my error (obviously)) - Nope.
From
https://www.thebalance.com/current-u-s-federal-government-tax-revenue-3305762
FY 2004 - $1.88 trillion.
FY 2003 - $1.72 trillion.
FY 2002 - $1.85 trillion.
FY 2001 - $1.99 trilion.
FY 2000 - $2.03 trillion.


Keep going. What was it in 2005-2009? Gotta give it some time to work, no?


No. You get more of the Post hoc ergo propter hoc fallacy. Look at defense spending 2005-2009. All those Humvees, guns, tanks, helicopters. Let's not forget the massive war profiteering, all the contractors (dozens of highly connected people creating contracting companies). All of that creates jobs, which creates more tax revenue. Also, the population rose during that time.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/272473/us-military-spending-from-2000-to-2012/

From the CBPP...
https://www.cbpp.org/research/federal-tax/the-legacy-of-the-2001-and-2003-bush-tax-cuts

Evidence suggests that the tax cuts — particularly those for high-income households — did not improve economic growth or pay for themselves, but instead ballooned deficits and debt and contributed to a rise in income inequality.

In fact, the economic expansion that lasted from 2001 to 2007 was weaker than average. A review of economic evidence on the tax cuts by Brookings Institution economist William Gale and Dartmouth professor Andrew Samwick, former chief economist on George W. Bush’s Council of Economic Advisers, found that “a cursory look at growth between 2001 and 2007 (before the onset of the Great Recession) suggests that overall growth rate was … mediocre” and that “there is, in short, no first-order evidence in the aggregate data that these tax cuts generated growth.”

In comparison, the economic expansion of the early 1990s — which followed considerable tax increases — produced a much faster rate of job growth and somewhat faster GDP growth than the expansion of the early 2000s.[15] An analysis of business activity between 1996 and 2008 found that even the sharp cut in dividend tax rates in 2003, which proponents claimed would spur immediate business growth, had no significant impact on business investment or employee compensation after 2003.


Here is Chris Christie with same flawed logic...
http://www.politifact.com/punditfact/statements/2015/jun/17/ron-christie/gop-strategist-christie-tax-revenues-rose-after-bu/

Yes. Tax revenues rose 2005-2009. But they are due to many factors. Economists can't point to the '01 tax cuts, and nor can you.

quote:


quote:

2. The economy improved after the tax cuts, and continued to improve after the majority of the tax cuts were made permanent. - This could be due to a plethora of factors. We also went into a major recession after the tax cuts.


Unless you're prepared to explain the tax cuts causing the housing bubble to burst, I'm not sure what the Great Recession has to do with it.


Not at all. I am explaining that tax cuts (especially ones that heavily weighted for the highest income earners) have a negligible short-term positive impact on the economy, and have a long-term negative impact on the economy through increased debt. If there were a tax cut heavily expanding the brackets of and the lowering the rates for the 12% and 25% bracket, there might be a more significant positive growth impact. However, such a tax cut has not been proposed.

I have been saying this for years and continue to say it:

The job creators are the middle class. We keep the economy moving more than any other group (except at times, the Federal Government)

(in reply to DesideriScuri)
Profile   Post #: 60
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